TUESDAY 28TH NOVEMBER: WHY YOU SHOULD AVOID BETTING BY THE BOOK?
THE BIG GAME
WATFORD V SHEFF UNITED
THE ADVISOR:BETTINGZONE.CO.UK
THE ADVICE: Watford v Sheff Utd bookings make-up over 40.5pts at 27/20 (expekt).
THE REASON:Two reds and eight yellows in the two games last season and so much at stake here.
THE REASON NOT TO: The stats don't particularly suggest that - both teams are in mid-table in the disciplinary league while referee Atkinson's record is in the same area.
THE ADVISOR: ITV TELETEXT
THE ADVICE: WATFORD HOME WIN 6/5
THE REASON: Watford home form
THE REASON NOT TO: Watford are missing key personnel in Foster, King and Clarke Carlisle. This game will be a tight battle and the odds reflect that.
THE ADVISOR: ITV TELETEXT
THE ADVICE: Over 3 goals at 6.5.
THE REASON: Both sides have weak defences.
THE REASON NOT TO: Then again both sides have incredibly weak attackers, Sheff United have one away goal, Watford unless they get hammered by Arsenal or Chelsea tend to have tight low scoring games.
THE INSANE BET OF THE DAY
ADI AKINBIYI 25/1 TO score a hat-trick, if that's your bet then you'd be better served putting it on Elvis to re-appear on next year's X factor, insane odds for a player who couldn't find the back of the net if he was fitted with SATNAV.
THE FORUM DEBATE OF THE DAY
THE OVER V UNDER 2.5 GOALS: Most come down on the under 2.5 goals as these two sides struggle to score, but you have to consider what happens when two weaker sides get together, the goals open up. The over/under is a tough call at the best of times and this one is one to really swerve.
THE IF YOU MUST BET ON THIS GAME THEN BET ON THIS
Probably the only logical bet on this game is small stakes score anytime bets on Ashley Young and Rob Hulse, if either of these men wins then you make some cash, check out www.extrabet.com who offer best odds on both these players.
THE REST OF THE DAY'S ACTION
THE CHAMPIONSHIP
28.11.2006
Barnsley Fc - Southend United 1.95 3.25 3.50
Why not to get involved: Barnsley may have won at the weekend under new caretaker manager Simon Davey however odds of under 2.00 are not so great for a side who still have a poor home record. New loan signings have greatly increased the strength of their side, though the new signings need to gel. On first impressions Southend got a tanking at the weekend, but they held their own for most of the game against a very impressive home Colchester side. They lost two key players to questionable decisions that caused them to collapse, right now this is a game not to get involved in.
Burnley Fc - Leeds United 1.85 3.30 3.85
Why not to get involved: Leeds under Wise have imrpoved but not consistently and they have no back to back form in the last six games, Burnley meanwhile have lost their last three and then previously won their first three, hard to find any motivation to get involved here.
Colchester United - Hull City 1.80 3.30 4.10
Why not to get involved: Colchester won three nil at the weekend and Hull only managed a draw at norwich, clear home win, right, wrong. Colchester were as stated a bit lucky the way things fell for them, while Hull deserved at least a point against Norwich, saying that though it's not easy to go to Colchester and get a result. Add in Phil Parkinson element and you have all the ingredients for a no bet.
Norwich City - Leicester City 2.00 3.25 3.40
Why not to get involved: The canaries manager Peter Grant was not the fans first choice and did himself no favours by having a go at them at the end of the game, the atmosphere could either be very muted or very hostile to the home team. Norwich were poor against Ipswich and not much better against Hull, Leicester are themselves in the midsts of a bad run having only point from a possible twelve.
Plymouth Argyle - Luton Town 1.85 3.30 3.85
Why not to get involved: True Luton are horrendous and the performance on the pitch somehow manages to be worse than the stuff that comes out of Mike Newell's mouth, however avoid Plymouth here. They have only two home wins all season and looked poor against Leeds at the weekend, Luton for their part had a much brighter second half,stay clear of the flock and don't bet here.
Preston North End - Coventry City 1.75 3.30 4.40
Why not to get carried away by one result: Those fine chaps at the Racing Post have an interesting point about the 4-1 PRESTON’S promotion challenge was blunted by struggling Crystal Palace on Saturday and tonight’s clash with Coventry doesn’t look any easier.
Inconsistent results have made the Sky Blues difficult to assess this year, but there is undoubted potential in Micky Adams’ squad and Betfred are taking a chance by making them a standout 4-1 to win at Deepdale.
Coventry brought an end to QPR’s five-match unbeaten run by recording a 1-0 success at Loftus Road on Saturday.
But Adams’ side wasted a hatful of chances and were more convincing winners than the scoreline suggests.
Coventry are full of energy, but the recent loan signing of Darren Currie has added a touch of class which could help them edge a tight clash tonight.
The only problem with this is that Coventry beat an inconsistent side in themselves in QPR, Preston also had a hatful of chances to win at the weekend, and still have a very impressive home record, while Coventry are very poor travels. We would suggest not getting caught up in one result and avoid backing Coventry, we might not go as far as to advise Preston, but we could understand why you might consider them in an accumulator double.
Sheffield Wednesday - West Bromwich Albion 2.50 3.25 2.50
Why you don't want to get involved: Both are under new managers who either passed the honeymoon or never even left the ground with it, both managers need patience from the fans and punters as right now results and performance are as inconsistent as one of David Gest's stories.
Wolverhampton Wanderers - Crystal Palace 1.85 3.30 3.85
Why you don't want to get involved: Wolves under 2.00 is never any value, they have no wins in three, and have two draws in three of their last home games, seems they're returning to their glory draw days under Hoddle. Palace meanwhile went highly defencive against Preston and stole a point, expect the same (if we can use such a word for Peter Taylor) tactics again tonight.
THE DON'T BE FOOLED BY THEIR LEAGUE POSITIONS WARNING OF THEIR DAY
Stoke City - Cardiff City 2.30 3.20 2.80
Cardiff might still sit top of the table, but they certainly don't sit top of the form table and if there was such a thing, not the performance table, the goals have dried up and the team are looking very nervy. Stoke for their part are firing, Lee Hendrie looks the class act in this league and they have now won four straight, if there is such a thing as a bet you must be on today then this might well be the one.
THE NOT EVEN THEIR MOTHERS COULD TELL THEM APART BET
Queens Park Rangers - Sunderland Afc 2.40 3.10 2.75
Sometimes they are bets you can argue you have to take, some you want to, some you want to despite yourself and some you should avoid like the new Westlife album, and this is it.
You have fifteenth placed QPR against sixteenth place Sunderland, on the same points. Both of these sides have newish managerial appointments, though major differences in the experience levels. However on the pitch they're fairly similar both have young midfielders who haven't quite made it at big clubs, Smith for QPR and Miller for Sunderland, though Smith hardly had the chances Miller did.
In terms of betting you could toss a coin and bet on that with more confidence, and some people will bet on that as well.
THE COMPETITON TO AVOID BETTING ON AT ALL COSTS
THE JOHNSTONE'S PAINT TROPHY just luncay to get involved in a tournament whch holds as much prestige as winning ttv's x factor.
THE I CAN'T BELIEVE IT'S NOT FOOTBALL BET
Sometimes this sight casts it's net wide to highlight some of the stupidest bets out there that don't essentially involve in Football, this week it's the drifitng to 12-1 of the draw in the Ashes. Soemtimes it's good to go against the crowd like those runners in the Bacardi advert, other times it's just stupid, like that Bacardi advert.
England will have to hope Harmison can produce a massive turn around in his one year form, and then find support, and then Flintoff can get batting, and Pietersen can continue betting, and the batting gets support, and, well I could go on. The sentiment is nice but it's just not a bet worth getting involved in.
Be back tommorrow for the all new blog, be sure to keep your hands on your money, invest it like you would invest your time, becuase you won't get either of them back.
WATFORD V SHEFF UNITED
THE ADVISOR:BETTINGZONE.CO.UK
THE ADVICE: Watford v Sheff Utd bookings make-up over 40.5pts at 27/20 (expekt).
THE REASON:Two reds and eight yellows in the two games last season and so much at stake here.
THE REASON NOT TO: The stats don't particularly suggest that - both teams are in mid-table in the disciplinary league while referee Atkinson's record is in the same area.
THE ADVISOR: ITV TELETEXT
THE ADVICE: WATFORD HOME WIN 6/5
THE REASON: Watford home form
THE REASON NOT TO: Watford are missing key personnel in Foster, King and Clarke Carlisle. This game will be a tight battle and the odds reflect that.
THE ADVISOR: ITV TELETEXT
THE ADVICE: Over 3 goals at 6.5.
THE REASON: Both sides have weak defences.
THE REASON NOT TO: Then again both sides have incredibly weak attackers, Sheff United have one away goal, Watford unless they get hammered by Arsenal or Chelsea tend to have tight low scoring games.
THE INSANE BET OF THE DAY
ADI AKINBIYI 25/1 TO score a hat-trick, if that's your bet then you'd be better served putting it on Elvis to re-appear on next year's X factor, insane odds for a player who couldn't find the back of the net if he was fitted with SATNAV.
THE FORUM DEBATE OF THE DAY
THE OVER V UNDER 2.5 GOALS: Most come down on the under 2.5 goals as these two sides struggle to score, but you have to consider what happens when two weaker sides get together, the goals open up. The over/under is a tough call at the best of times and this one is one to really swerve.
THE IF YOU MUST BET ON THIS GAME THEN BET ON THIS
Probably the only logical bet on this game is small stakes score anytime bets on Ashley Young and Rob Hulse, if either of these men wins then you make some cash, check out www.extrabet.com who offer best odds on both these players.
THE REST OF THE DAY'S ACTION
THE CHAMPIONSHIP
28.11.2006
Barnsley Fc - Southend United 1.95 3.25 3.50
Why not to get involved: Barnsley may have won at the weekend under new caretaker manager Simon Davey however odds of under 2.00 are not so great for a side who still have a poor home record. New loan signings have greatly increased the strength of their side, though the new signings need to gel. On first impressions Southend got a tanking at the weekend, but they held their own for most of the game against a very impressive home Colchester side. They lost two key players to questionable decisions that caused them to collapse, right now this is a game not to get involved in.
Burnley Fc - Leeds United 1.85 3.30 3.85
Why not to get involved: Leeds under Wise have imrpoved but not consistently and they have no back to back form in the last six games, Burnley meanwhile have lost their last three and then previously won their first three, hard to find any motivation to get involved here.
Colchester United - Hull City 1.80 3.30 4.10
Why not to get involved: Colchester won three nil at the weekend and Hull only managed a draw at norwich, clear home win, right, wrong. Colchester were as stated a bit lucky the way things fell for them, while Hull deserved at least a point against Norwich, saying that though it's not easy to go to Colchester and get a result. Add in Phil Parkinson element and you have all the ingredients for a no bet.
Norwich City - Leicester City 2.00 3.25 3.40
Why not to get involved: The canaries manager Peter Grant was not the fans first choice and did himself no favours by having a go at them at the end of the game, the atmosphere could either be very muted or very hostile to the home team. Norwich were poor against Ipswich and not much better against Hull, Leicester are themselves in the midsts of a bad run having only point from a possible twelve.
Plymouth Argyle - Luton Town 1.85 3.30 3.85
Why not to get involved: True Luton are horrendous and the performance on the pitch somehow manages to be worse than the stuff that comes out of Mike Newell's mouth, however avoid Plymouth here. They have only two home wins all season and looked poor against Leeds at the weekend, Luton for their part had a much brighter second half,stay clear of the flock and don't bet here.
Preston North End - Coventry City 1.75 3.30 4.40
Why not to get carried away by one result: Those fine chaps at the Racing Post have an interesting point about the 4-1 PRESTON’S promotion challenge was blunted by struggling Crystal Palace on Saturday and tonight’s clash with Coventry doesn’t look any easier.
Inconsistent results have made the Sky Blues difficult to assess this year, but there is undoubted potential in Micky Adams’ squad and Betfred are taking a chance by making them a standout 4-1 to win at Deepdale.
Coventry brought an end to QPR’s five-match unbeaten run by recording a 1-0 success at Loftus Road on Saturday.
But Adams’ side wasted a hatful of chances and were more convincing winners than the scoreline suggests.
Coventry are full of energy, but the recent loan signing of Darren Currie has added a touch of class which could help them edge a tight clash tonight.
The only problem with this is that Coventry beat an inconsistent side in themselves in QPR, Preston also had a hatful of chances to win at the weekend, and still have a very impressive home record, while Coventry are very poor travels. We would suggest not getting caught up in one result and avoid backing Coventry, we might not go as far as to advise Preston, but we could understand why you might consider them in an accumulator double.
Sheffield Wednesday - West Bromwich Albion 2.50 3.25 2.50
Why you don't want to get involved: Both are under new managers who either passed the honeymoon or never even left the ground with it, both managers need patience from the fans and punters as right now results and performance are as inconsistent as one of David Gest's stories.
Wolverhampton Wanderers - Crystal Palace 1.85 3.30 3.85
Why you don't want to get involved: Wolves under 2.00 is never any value, they have no wins in three, and have two draws in three of their last home games, seems they're returning to their glory draw days under Hoddle. Palace meanwhile went highly defencive against Preston and stole a point, expect the same (if we can use such a word for Peter Taylor) tactics again tonight.
THE DON'T BE FOOLED BY THEIR LEAGUE POSITIONS WARNING OF THEIR DAY
Stoke City - Cardiff City 2.30 3.20 2.80
Cardiff might still sit top of the table, but they certainly don't sit top of the form table and if there was such a thing, not the performance table, the goals have dried up and the team are looking very nervy. Stoke for their part are firing, Lee Hendrie looks the class act in this league and they have now won four straight, if there is such a thing as a bet you must be on today then this might well be the one.
THE NOT EVEN THEIR MOTHERS COULD TELL THEM APART BET
Queens Park Rangers - Sunderland Afc 2.40 3.10 2.75
Sometimes they are bets you can argue you have to take, some you want to, some you want to despite yourself and some you should avoid like the new Westlife album, and this is it.
You have fifteenth placed QPR against sixteenth place Sunderland, on the same points. Both of these sides have newish managerial appointments, though major differences in the experience levels. However on the pitch they're fairly similar both have young midfielders who haven't quite made it at big clubs, Smith for QPR and Miller for Sunderland, though Smith hardly had the chances Miller did.
In terms of betting you could toss a coin and bet on that with more confidence, and some people will bet on that as well.
THE COMPETITON TO AVOID BETTING ON AT ALL COSTS
THE JOHNSTONE'S PAINT TROPHY just luncay to get involved in a tournament whch holds as much prestige as winning ttv's x factor.
THE I CAN'T BELIEVE IT'S NOT FOOTBALL BET
Sometimes this sight casts it's net wide to highlight some of the stupidest bets out there that don't essentially involve in Football, this week it's the drifitng to 12-1 of the draw in the Ashes. Soemtimes it's good to go against the crowd like those runners in the Bacardi advert, other times it's just stupid, like that Bacardi advert.
England will have to hope Harmison can produce a massive turn around in his one year form, and then find support, and then Flintoff can get batting, and Pietersen can continue betting, and the batting gets support, and, well I could go on. The sentiment is nice but it's just not a bet worth getting involved in.
Be back tommorrow for the all new blog, be sure to keep your hands on your money, invest it like you would invest your time, becuase you won't get either of them back.
posted by richard mctiernan at 1:13 AM
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