AH YES IT'S PANCAKE DAY
Don't know bout you but it's great to have the Champions League back, not just because it saves me from reality television or England friendlies, but because there's nothing like seeing two giants go toe to toe, that and I love the moment where that opera voice sings 'The Champions'
With that said though the first round of matches is a betting nightmare, the two legged nature of the contest and the inconsistent domestic form of many of the teams make this one tougher than an Audley Harrison opponent. My thoughts on each game and them some value bets across the league.
CELTIC V AC MILLAN: There's more chance of the UK winning this year's Eurovision then there is of Celtic being Champions League champions this year, but that doesn't mean you can't discount them here. At home Celtic are a match for anyone and this a long way from a vintage Milan side, injuries to Nesta and Dida, means the rear-guard will be vulnerable. Milan also look as toothless as Audley Harrison, without cup-tied Ronaldo, Inzaghi and suspended Borriello. This game might be a tight one to call but the 5.9 on Nakumara to score anytime with extrabet seems the bet to be on. Nakumara takes all the free kicks and has a mean shot from distance, in a game in which opportunities might be few and far between he seems great value.
LILLE V MAN UNITED: Cristian Ronaldo is widely held up to be the best in Europe right now, his close control and fast movement mean he is widely tipped to be the pancacke flipper of the year, oh and he's a damn good footballer as well. United will need Ronaldo to be at his best to break down a tough Lille side in what could be a war of attrition, as appose to nutrition which comes at teatime. United will battle and hustle, Lille will frustrate, you will channel surf and this game will finish a low scoring one. My advice, chicken, mushroom and bacon, oh and no bet.
PSV V ARSENAL: Of course we all know the real reason why we celebrate Shrove Tuesday don't we, nope, of course it's the final day before the fourty days Jesus spent in the wilderness, before showing us the error of our ways. Arsene Wenger will hpe William Gallas will have a similar effect on the Gunners back line, this should be a tight one, PSV are struggling for form in Holland and were less than impressive when winning on Saturday. Arsenal meanwhile huffed and puffed their way to a nil-nil draw against Blackburn. This one is like the three day old pancake best left alone.
REAL V BAYERN: Both sides have coaches that left and then cameback and now must really wish they hand't bothered, both sides are struggling for form in their domestic league, both sides have players with an allergy to lemon, this time is a real pick em, as in pick who will go out when they meet someone good.
BRONZE BET: Sunderland not to lose at Birmingham 3.5 the win, 3.25 the draw, various. There are not many great things to come out of Sunderland, futureheads maybe, steve cram and the road out of there. However, Roy Keane, Niall Quinn and the Irish money are building a very good side out of there, their main strength lies in widemen Hysen and Edwards who have great pace, Brum for their part are missing key wideman and captain Damien Johnson, not the BBC correspondent. The Mackems are no worse than Brum and should not be overlooked at these odds.
SILVER BET: Hull not to lose at Barnsley 3.2 the win/ 3.2 the draw with Stan James. Hull are not very good, in fact they would have more success if they let some of the wildlife that rolls around near the University have a game. That said though they are better than Barnsley and Barnsley doesn't even have any wildlife, unless you count the locals on a friday night out. On the football pitch Hull have drew their last two away games including against Derby, they are showing improved signs under Phil Brown. Ray Parlour will give their midfield added strength and hair styling advice, Barnsley are really struggling, coach Simon Davey does not convince and if not for Howard they would be lower than they are. Key striker Nardiello is suspended, for the game, not from a bridge, and Hull should at least pick up a point here.
GOLD BET: Doubles are a dangerous thing before you know where you are they mess you up, yeah make mine a double fries, make mine a double vodka, make mine a double top, dangerous stuff, especially the darts one. My advice is that you need to get on the double tonight though, at the odds of 2.98 paddy power are paying out on the Millwall home victory over Leyton Orient and West Brom at home to Cardiff. You'd be seeing more than double your money if you do.
Elsewhere Stockport, Shrewsbury, Darlington, Leicester, Southend and Grimsby look the pick of the evening's other games.
Goodluck everyone.
With that said though the first round of matches is a betting nightmare, the two legged nature of the contest and the inconsistent domestic form of many of the teams make this one tougher than an Audley Harrison opponent. My thoughts on each game and them some value bets across the league.
CELTIC V AC MILLAN: There's more chance of the UK winning this year's Eurovision then there is of Celtic being Champions League champions this year, but that doesn't mean you can't discount them here. At home Celtic are a match for anyone and this a long way from a vintage Milan side, injuries to Nesta and Dida, means the rear-guard will be vulnerable. Milan also look as toothless as Audley Harrison, without cup-tied Ronaldo, Inzaghi and suspended Borriello. This game might be a tight one to call but the 5.9 on Nakumara to score anytime with extrabet seems the bet to be on. Nakumara takes all the free kicks and has a mean shot from distance, in a game in which opportunities might be few and far between he seems great value.
LILLE V MAN UNITED: Cristian Ronaldo is widely held up to be the best in Europe right now, his close control and fast movement mean he is widely tipped to be the pancacke flipper of the year, oh and he's a damn good footballer as well. United will need Ronaldo to be at his best to break down a tough Lille side in what could be a war of attrition, as appose to nutrition which comes at teatime. United will battle and hustle, Lille will frustrate, you will channel surf and this game will finish a low scoring one. My advice, chicken, mushroom and bacon, oh and no bet.
PSV V ARSENAL: Of course we all know the real reason why we celebrate Shrove Tuesday don't we, nope, of course it's the final day before the fourty days Jesus spent in the wilderness, before showing us the error of our ways. Arsene Wenger will hpe William Gallas will have a similar effect on the Gunners back line, this should be a tight one, PSV are struggling for form in Holland and were less than impressive when winning on Saturday. Arsenal meanwhile huffed and puffed their way to a nil-nil draw against Blackburn. This one is like the three day old pancake best left alone.
REAL V BAYERN: Both sides have coaches that left and then cameback and now must really wish they hand't bothered, both sides are struggling for form in their domestic league, both sides have players with an allergy to lemon, this time is a real pick em, as in pick who will go out when they meet someone good.
BRONZE BET: Sunderland not to lose at Birmingham 3.5 the win, 3.25 the draw, various. There are not many great things to come out of Sunderland, futureheads maybe, steve cram and the road out of there. However, Roy Keane, Niall Quinn and the Irish money are building a very good side out of there, their main strength lies in widemen Hysen and Edwards who have great pace, Brum for their part are missing key wideman and captain Damien Johnson, not the BBC correspondent. The Mackems are no worse than Brum and should not be overlooked at these odds.
SILVER BET: Hull not to lose at Barnsley 3.2 the win/ 3.2 the draw with Stan James. Hull are not very good, in fact they would have more success if they let some of the wildlife that rolls around near the University have a game. That said though they are better than Barnsley and Barnsley doesn't even have any wildlife, unless you count the locals on a friday night out. On the football pitch Hull have drew their last two away games including against Derby, they are showing improved signs under Phil Brown. Ray Parlour will give their midfield added strength and hair styling advice, Barnsley are really struggling, coach Simon Davey does not convince and if not for Howard they would be lower than they are. Key striker Nardiello is suspended, for the game, not from a bridge, and Hull should at least pick up a point here.
GOLD BET: Doubles are a dangerous thing before you know where you are they mess you up, yeah make mine a double fries, make mine a double vodka, make mine a double top, dangerous stuff, especially the darts one. My advice is that you need to get on the double tonight though, at the odds of 2.98 paddy power are paying out on the Millwall home victory over Leyton Orient and West Brom at home to Cardiff. You'd be seeing more than double your money if you do.
Elsewhere Stockport, Shrewsbury, Darlington, Leicester, Southend and Grimsby look the pick of the evening's other games.
Goodluck everyone.
posted by richard mctiernan at 2:12 AM
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