Tuesday, April 10, 2007

ALL GOOD THINGS COME TO THOSE WHO WAIT

ALL GOOD THINGS COME TO THOSE WHO WAIT

Apologies for the Tony Blair style holiday absence, but I had a lot of things on and some of them even paid me money which is more than this blog does, still I have time on my hands today so on with the blog.

THINGS THAT GO BUMP IN THE NIGHT
The end of a busy weekend of sporting action has seen us all gorged silly and over fed on sports and there is no end in sight with this week's european football, ongoing cricket world cup and grand national. Here is a look at how the market is moving and how none of us probably still can.

FOOTBALL: Fulham's 3-1 home reverse defeat Manchester City on Easter Monday has seen their price run quicker than Chris Coleman at the sight of the cross, Coleman's side could well be sucked into the battle, you missed the jokes huh, and are now down to 4/1 with William Hill and Coral for the drop.
West Ham (2/5), Sheffield United (8/15) and Charlton (10/11) all remain odds-on at this stage, the latter earning another point with a 0-0 scoreline at home to Reading.
Wigan also grabbed a point at Aston Villa and they are out to 10/3 at Betfred while 1/200 chances Watford threw themselves the slightest lifeline by beating Portsmouth 4-2 at Vicarage Road.

Sunderland are now 4/6 favourites with William Hill to win the Championship following their 2-1 win at Southampton.
Hills make Derby 15/8 second favourites with Birmingham 9/2 third best.

Regular readers will have hopefully followed our ten to one on Sunderland a couple of months back and should now be feeling as happy as someone who has escaped a Roy Keane telling off.
Meanwhile at the bottom Colchester did a Leeds on Leeds, scoring late not selling all their best players and paying over the top for a goldfish. This dropped Leeds back into the relegation zone and the Whites are 5-6 to fall into League One.
Brentford were the first team in the Football League to be relegated after a 3-1 loss at Crewe. The Bees, who were 8-1 for the drop ante-post, are 12-1 with Bet365 to win League Two.

CRICKET: Daniel Vettori is into as short as 10/1 following his heroics against Ireland yesterday. Which if is heroic is as heroic as Superman showing his might against an evil three year old.
Vettori mopped up the tail with four wickets as New Zealand ran out 129 run winners in Guyana and that haul has taken the left-arm spinner onto 12 wickets, just three behind leaders Lasith Malinga and Glenn McGrath.
And he ranges in price from just 10/1 with Stan James to 16s at Sky Bet.
Malinga is 5/2 favourite with Ladbrokes, McGrath is 7/2 at Hills, it's then 5/1 Muttiah Muralitharan and 16/1 bar.

RUGBY LEAGUE: St Helens are down to as low as 1.47 with Betfair to win the Rugby League thing is it a title or champiosnhip? Leeds who face Wigan tonight are next best, closed followed (LIKE A not so discrete stalekr) by Bradford.

NOVELTY: Switzerland are the new bookies favourites for Eurovision, our tip Sweden are great value at 8.00 with Boylesports,
I promise I'm not on comission I just think the song is a great song that is catchy on first listen and will do well, still a great value bet.

Switzerland 7.5 9
Sweden 8 8
Serbia 11 13
Belarus 12 13
Bulgaria 13 15
Russia 13 14.5
Ukraine 15 16
Greece 17 19.5
Cyprus 21 19
Romania 26 27
Israel 34 44
United Kingdom 34

TODAY'S THE DAY
SPORT DIARY
TUESDAY APRIL 10
FOOTBALL
Champions League quarter-final second legs (1945): Man Utd v Roma. Valencia v Chelsea.
CRICKET WORLD CUP
World Cup Super Eight, St George's: West Indies v South Africa (David Clough covering).
DOMESTIC CRICKET
Lord's: Friends Provident Trophy launch (1300).
RUGBY LEAGUE
Engage Super League: Leeds v Wigan (2000).
TENNIS
Valencia: Open de Comunidad (to Apr 15).
Houston: US Clay Court Championships (to Apr 15).
South Carolina: Family Circle Women's Cup (to Apr 15).
RACING
Chepstow. Fontwell. Pontefract. Fairyhouse

LIVE SPORT ON TV
14:30 Sky Sports 1 South Africa v West Indies World Cup Super Eights
18:00 British Eurosport 2 Real Madrid v Lietuvos Rytas ULEB Cup Final
19:05 NASN Seattle v Boston MLB
19:45 ITV1 Manchester Utd v Roma UEFA Champions League Quarter-final 2nd Leg
19:45 ITV4 /Setanta Ireland (N. Ireland only) Valencia v Chelsea UEFA Champions League Quarter-final 2nd Leg
20:00 Sky Sports 2 /Sky Sports HD2 Leeds v Wigan Super League
Wednesday 11th April
00:05 NASN Kansas City v Toronto MLB
00.50 NBA Channel five I'm too lazy too look into my tv guide to find out, it'll be worth it for Mark Webster's jumper alone.

THE TIPPING POINT
If I keep typing in this title Google will pick it up and I'll get hits from intellectuals in the meanwhile I'll make do with you lot:)
FOOTBALL: THE CHAMPIONS LEAGUE
Some things are hard to seperate, Siameese Twins for instance and previously The Atom, tonight's teams in The Champions League is also a case in point. Which is precisely why you should bet and shouldn't bet, confused, that makes two of us. The notion is that there should be little in the betting between the two teams for both matches, home advantage should be shading the odds slightly. Which is why Valencia v Chelsea is a no bet and Man United v Roma is a must bet.
Roma came through 2-1 in the last leg and have the advantage. United will need to attack and this will suit Roma's style of play greatly, the side specalise on counter attacks and with Totti up front can cause problems to a United defence badly missing Vidic and Neville. Roma should be backed with the away win at 6.5 with Boylesports and the draw at 3.6 with Boylesports.
In addition Small stakes on Totti at 10/1 to be the first scorer with BET365. The reason is twofold, Totti is an ace striker and penalty taker and United's need to attack will give Roma counter attacking opportunities. The second is that BET365 need to be rewarded and possibly punished for offering a new and unique market.
They are offering an excellent service where your inital stake is entered into a double market, in this case 10.00 on Totti first scorer becomes thirded and 3.something is on offer for Totti to score anytime.
RUGBY LEAGUE Leeds at 2.0 to cover the handicap against Leeds. Our other bet for the day is in the Rugby League where BET365 again need to be applauded for offering evens on the handicap, Wigan were hammered by St Helens and might find Leeds too much for them, small stakes advised.
BASKETBALL: No bets as such but pleased to see Centrebet finally being prepared to push the NBA coverage markets with player performance points an interesting addition.

STARS OF THE DAY: BET365 AND Centrebet for pushing betting on.
MUGS OF THE DAY: All the bookies who are now insisting that you have to send them copies of your driving Licence or Passport if you only have a VisaElectron card, there stance on under age betting is honourable but they need to find ways around that as who can be bothered to photocopy their driving licence just to have a bet.
BET OF THE DAY: Roma not to lose.
THOUGHT FOR THE DAY: Always be sure to check specials for value, Hills for instance offer a double on United going out, but the two match betting singles are a better price.

Well that's it for today, be back tommorrow with more stuff including a new feature The Blaggers Guide to, where we take an aspect of sport or betting, ask a number of experts and come up with the blaggers guide to appearing widely knowledgable about an area you might not have the time to be into.

In the meanwhile I'm out of here slower than Everton's Lescott at an offside trap.

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