SOMETHING FOR THE WEEKEND
Apologies to everyone haven't exactly been blessed with time this week but here's some stuff for the weekend, I'll return to a proper format next week.
SCOTLAND
Celtic Glasgow - Aberdeen FC 1.24 5.00 9.46
Hibernian - Dundee Utd. 1.58 3.61 5.03
Caledonian Thistle - Motherwell FC 36 1.87 3.29 3.68
Kilmarnock FC - Dunfermline 1.57 3.59 5.12
St. Mirren - Hearts of Midlothian 3.22 3.22 2.04
Falkirk FC - Glasgow Rangers 5.97 3.79 1.47
CELTIC V ABERDEEN: Although Celtic have an out of the world home record, iI'd be loathe to get involved here at 1.24, they understandably have take their foot off the gas with that huge lead and can afford a few draws. Aberdeen come to celtic on a great run of form, six games unbeaten, five of which they have won, confidence is high and will not be undermined by the glasgow clubs attempts to unsettle key player russell anderson before the game.
If anyone bets wilth mansion and that can't be many they offer Aberdeen on a 1.25 asian handicap, at 2.02 which could be plauisble for a small stakes, as Aberdeen might lose but will not got hammered.
HIBS V DUNDEE UNITED: Both sides have really picked up under their new managers, Hibs finally finding some subsistence to their great football, dundee united have three wins out of four, but still have a poor away record and that one loss was away to dunfermilne. This might be closer than the bookies think, but with hibs short price and dundee united's unproven away form I'd not get involved here.
INVERNESS V MOTHERWELL: Inverness haven't won in five, motherwell's home win last week was their first for seven games, seems a tricky one to call, marginal better chance of home win but not reflected in the odds.
KILMARNOCK V DUNFERMILNE: Kilmanrock should be expcted to win this one but are a very hit and miss side, the odds are short and Dunfermilne are just to poor to lump onto at 5.12.
ST MIRREN V HEARTS: Both these sides have really gone off the boil, Hearts make get the bounce from the return of the coach, but seeing as last time they won we were thinking if it was possible to put men on the moon you wouldn't take 2.04.
FALKIRK V RANGERS: In terms of form both sides are heading opposite ways, Falkirk have no wins in three, Rangers three from three, and Le Guen might just be finding his feet. Rangers should win here but not value in odds, the experts are recommending rangers to win t nil as well, because falkirk will hugely miss stokes presence. However they can still find the net and russell lapaty will be leading the line instead of stokes, with two goals in three and falkirk capable of finding the net extrabet's 6.4 for him to score anytime is wonderful, almost double what stan james offer.
PREMIER LEAGUE THOUGHTS
ARSENAL V SPURS: Arsenal are so offer the boil at the moment but you just know they could hammer someone. Interesting to note the game last season were spurs should have won and went onto the champions league instead they stuttered and allowed arsenal in the back door, be interesting to see how this affects them. Spurs also have a woeful away record and this game is just so awful to call. Both sides have goals in them but then strikers who can missifire, which one of spurs four strikers will play. More questions than an episode of Who wants to be a millionaire, best to leave well alone and enjoy it as a footballing feast.
BLACKBURN V FULHAM: Blackburn need the home win and have the added bonus of the rest, but Fulham will be buoyed by the result against Arsenal, Blackburn without tugay makes me not bet, but they will benefit from the extra rest and are a lot more physical than arsenal, Boa Morte looks like he's firing though and reprsent the threat to me. At 1.91 this is a no bet to me.
I'm gong to back villa on the away win, draw double, despite the loss to man city, I think that was more man city on fire than anything else.
POMPEY V VILLA
I think they have a great away record, they know how to get the draws, pompey aren't exactly firing in front of goal and agbonlahor's pace will cause a threat, pompey would be my marginal pick to win this, but the odds seem to misreprsent two sides not a million miles apart. James is on fire so keep stakes low.
READING V BOLTON: Reading just shade this one in terms of match result but not one I'd be betting on.
SHEFF UNITED V CHARLTON: Tough six pointer, no bet.
WIGAN V LIVERPOOL: Wigan are a tricky home side, value in the home side to win or draw double result, especially with Liverpool's away form and well documented striking problems.
BORO V MAN UNITED: Be wary of ferguson's team selection, they might just take their eye off this game, noone would advise backing Boro but then they have it in them, one to avoid.
Got to be quick with this I'm against a tight deadline,
So one liners
12:00 Leeds (1.91) Draw (3.3) Barnsley (4.4)
Barnsley might spring a surprise here, leeds have the firepower, they have the tight defence. Would have liked slightly bigger away odds to bite.
15:00 Birmingham (1.62) Draw (3.5) Plymouth (6)
Lots of people will put brum on the coupon which is fine for me but Plymouth can cause betting nightmares and they like to bloody the noses of the big boys, they're are much better 1.62 shots than this.
15:00 Cardiff (1.7) Draw (3.75) Colchester (6)
Colchester beat cardiff last time at 3-1 but don't travel well, cardiff for their part are complelty off their game, they need to stand up and be counted, advise not getting involved here.
15:00 Coventry (2.45) Draw (3.3) Stoke (2.88)
Like the chocolates on your advent calendar stoke seem an exciting entice, you want to load up on them but be wary you might run this risk of being sick. Coventry are difficult at home and are getting some decent results themselves, stoke are the form team of the league and we might live to regret passing up 2.88 but I'm going to.
15:00 Crystal Palace (2.2) Draw (3.4) QPR (3.7
Two highly unpredictable sides, Palace might be improving but things are far from rosy, QPR lost two winnable home games but win some very unwinnable away games, clear no bet.
15:00 Hull (2.88) Draw (3.3) Southampton (2.55)
Hull may have got hammered in midweek but expect a reaction from Parkinson and his men, Southampton are playing some nice stuff, and seem capable of the draw, not to lose double.
15:00 Ipswich (2.38) Draw (3.3) Burnley (3.2)
Ipswich are a much better home side, but Burnely are no mugs, no bet.
15:00 Leicester (2.3) Draw (3.3) Sheff Wed (3.3)
Sheff wed also look good value not to lose, Laws has toughed them up while leicester look vulnerable.
15:00 Luton (3.3) Draw (3.3) Preston (2.38)
Preston might seem huge but they are struggling to find the net and luton still possess an attacking threat, again like stoke I'd advoid but you may live to regret it.
15:00 Southend (2.88) Draw (3.3) Wolves (2.6)
Wolves don't travel, southend just aren't playing at all, avoid.
15:00 Sunderland (2.2) Draw (3.4) Norwich (3.9)
Sunderland seem good value but I'm loathe to back against my own team.
15:00 West Brom (2.2) Draw (3.4) Derby (3.75)
Derby are a very difficult side and could be good value not to lose, though west brom are much better than they are playing, I would advise a no bet.
Have a good weekend everyone
SCOTLAND
Celtic Glasgow - Aberdeen FC 1.24 5.00 9.46
Hibernian - Dundee Utd. 1.58 3.61 5.03
Caledonian Thistle - Motherwell FC 36 1.87 3.29 3.68
Kilmarnock FC - Dunfermline 1.57 3.59 5.12
St. Mirren - Hearts of Midlothian 3.22 3.22 2.04
Falkirk FC - Glasgow Rangers 5.97 3.79 1.47
CELTIC V ABERDEEN: Although Celtic have an out of the world home record, iI'd be loathe to get involved here at 1.24, they understandably have take their foot off the gas with that huge lead and can afford a few draws. Aberdeen come to celtic on a great run of form, six games unbeaten, five of which they have won, confidence is high and will not be undermined by the glasgow clubs attempts to unsettle key player russell anderson before the game.
If anyone bets wilth mansion and that can't be many they offer Aberdeen on a 1.25 asian handicap, at 2.02 which could be plauisble for a small stakes, as Aberdeen might lose but will not got hammered.
HIBS V DUNDEE UNITED: Both sides have really picked up under their new managers, Hibs finally finding some subsistence to their great football, dundee united have three wins out of four, but still have a poor away record and that one loss was away to dunfermilne. This might be closer than the bookies think, but with hibs short price and dundee united's unproven away form I'd not get involved here.
INVERNESS V MOTHERWELL: Inverness haven't won in five, motherwell's home win last week was their first for seven games, seems a tricky one to call, marginal better chance of home win but not reflected in the odds.
KILMARNOCK V DUNFERMILNE: Kilmanrock should be expcted to win this one but are a very hit and miss side, the odds are short and Dunfermilne are just to poor to lump onto at 5.12.
ST MIRREN V HEARTS: Both these sides have really gone off the boil, Hearts make get the bounce from the return of the coach, but seeing as last time they won we were thinking if it was possible to put men on the moon you wouldn't take 2.04.
FALKIRK V RANGERS: In terms of form both sides are heading opposite ways, Falkirk have no wins in three, Rangers three from three, and Le Guen might just be finding his feet. Rangers should win here but not value in odds, the experts are recommending rangers to win t nil as well, because falkirk will hugely miss stokes presence. However they can still find the net and russell lapaty will be leading the line instead of stokes, with two goals in three and falkirk capable of finding the net extrabet's 6.4 for him to score anytime is wonderful, almost double what stan james offer.
PREMIER LEAGUE THOUGHTS
ARSENAL V SPURS: Arsenal are so offer the boil at the moment but you just know they could hammer someone. Interesting to note the game last season were spurs should have won and went onto the champions league instead they stuttered and allowed arsenal in the back door, be interesting to see how this affects them. Spurs also have a woeful away record and this game is just so awful to call. Both sides have goals in them but then strikers who can missifire, which one of spurs four strikers will play. More questions than an episode of Who wants to be a millionaire, best to leave well alone and enjoy it as a footballing feast.
BLACKBURN V FULHAM: Blackburn need the home win and have the added bonus of the rest, but Fulham will be buoyed by the result against Arsenal, Blackburn without tugay makes me not bet, but they will benefit from the extra rest and are a lot more physical than arsenal, Boa Morte looks like he's firing though and reprsent the threat to me. At 1.91 this is a no bet to me.
I'm gong to back villa on the away win, draw double, despite the loss to man city, I think that was more man city on fire than anything else.
POMPEY V VILLA
I think they have a great away record, they know how to get the draws, pompey aren't exactly firing in front of goal and agbonlahor's pace will cause a threat, pompey would be my marginal pick to win this, but the odds seem to misreprsent two sides not a million miles apart. James is on fire so keep stakes low.
READING V BOLTON: Reading just shade this one in terms of match result but not one I'd be betting on.
SHEFF UNITED V CHARLTON: Tough six pointer, no bet.
WIGAN V LIVERPOOL: Wigan are a tricky home side, value in the home side to win or draw double result, especially with Liverpool's away form and well documented striking problems.
BORO V MAN UNITED: Be wary of ferguson's team selection, they might just take their eye off this game, noone would advise backing Boro but then they have it in them, one to avoid.
Got to be quick with this I'm against a tight deadline,
So one liners
12:00 Leeds (1.91) Draw (3.3) Barnsley (4.4)
Barnsley might spring a surprise here, leeds have the firepower, they have the tight defence. Would have liked slightly bigger away odds to bite.
15:00 Birmingham (1.62) Draw (3.5) Plymouth (6)
Lots of people will put brum on the coupon which is fine for me but Plymouth can cause betting nightmares and they like to bloody the noses of the big boys, they're are much better 1.62 shots than this.
15:00 Cardiff (1.7) Draw (3.75) Colchester (6)
Colchester beat cardiff last time at 3-1 but don't travel well, cardiff for their part are complelty off their game, they need to stand up and be counted, advise not getting involved here.
15:00 Coventry (2.45) Draw (3.3) Stoke (2.88)
Like the chocolates on your advent calendar stoke seem an exciting entice, you want to load up on them but be wary you might run this risk of being sick. Coventry are difficult at home and are getting some decent results themselves, stoke are the form team of the league and we might live to regret passing up 2.88 but I'm going to.
15:00 Crystal Palace (2.2) Draw (3.4) QPR (3.7
Two highly unpredictable sides, Palace might be improving but things are far from rosy, QPR lost two winnable home games but win some very unwinnable away games, clear no bet.
15:00 Hull (2.88) Draw (3.3) Southampton (2.55)
Hull may have got hammered in midweek but expect a reaction from Parkinson and his men, Southampton are playing some nice stuff, and seem capable of the draw, not to lose double.
15:00 Ipswich (2.38) Draw (3.3) Burnley (3.2)
Ipswich are a much better home side, but Burnely are no mugs, no bet.
15:00 Leicester (2.3) Draw (3.3) Sheff Wed (3.3)
Sheff wed also look good value not to lose, Laws has toughed them up while leicester look vulnerable.
15:00 Luton (3.3) Draw (3.3) Preston (2.38)
Preston might seem huge but they are struggling to find the net and luton still possess an attacking threat, again like stoke I'd advoid but you may live to regret it.
15:00 Southend (2.88) Draw (3.3) Wolves (2.6)
Wolves don't travel, southend just aren't playing at all, avoid.
15:00 Sunderland (2.2) Draw (3.4) Norwich (3.9)
Sunderland seem good value but I'm loathe to back against my own team.
15:00 West Brom (2.2) Draw (3.4) Derby (3.75)
Derby are a very difficult side and could be good value not to lose, though west brom are much better than they are playing, I would advise a no bet.
Have a good weekend everyone
posted by richard mctiernan at 1:13 AM
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