AVOID LIKE JORDAN AND PETER ANDRE'S NEW ALBUM
That's how bad these things are, you'll find yourself feeling sicker than that proverbial parrot if you fall for these bookie traps, here are the ten games bookies they want you to invest in and why not to get involved.
PREMIER LEAGUE
I could probably argue with justifcation that the whole premier league is a minefield but that won't stop some of you getting involved, it's very rare to find a price in the Premier League that doesn't fit so remember to be very careful. However they are a few that just don't work at all.
1. BLACKBURN V NEWCASTLE
Both these sides had differing midweeks, Blackburn poor defeat at Charlton, while Newcastle were impressive going forward against Reading. Mark Hughes' Blackburn have struggled to just two wins from their last 10 games, a run which includes six defeats in the Premiership, Newcastle are unbeaten in seven. However Newcastle have only one win away all season, while Blackburn can ammend many of their problems if Hughes returns Tugay to the middle and Bentley out wide. Newcastle will always give teams chances and Nonda and McCarthy look a lot more comfortable and gain a lot more support at home. This game is just a minefield and certainly worth the swerve.
2: TOTTENHAM V CHARLTON
I can see why Tottenham appeal, Charlton are hideous away, Spurs are great at home,however 1.57 for Spurs is not a price worth getting involved in. Spurs have Robbie Keane and Jenas out(though some may argue Jenas out is a plus), but mood can't be helped by the story that Jol has no faith in Defoe. Charlton showed a lot of fight in midweek and Andy Reid was looking great and will no doubt have a point to prove against Spurs. This is a London derby and though Spurs should win these are not the odds to get involved in.
3: LIVERPOOL V FULHAM
Liverpool should all in win but backing them at 1.44 doesn't appeal especially after what happened last time at home to Portsmouth. Liverpool should have enough to break down Fulham's rearguard but they are numerous games this season where they have dominated and struggled to break down tight defences. At 1.44 it doesn't pay to get caught out here.
CHAMPIONSHIP
4: BIRMINGHAM V PRESTON
This is a big headache from a betting point of view one that no amount of painkiller can solve. These two sides sit first and second in the table with just two points seperating, Preston have gone off the boil a little of late but will no doubt be motivated for this one, Birmingham sit top of the table, but there is little between the two sides. If Bendtner has an off day then Birmingham struggle, it's rare that he does mind but he is Birmingham's key.
5: LEEDS V DERBY
No doubt the punters are piling into Derby and who can blame they were on a great run of form before that last minute defeat to West Brom. Leeds for their part are just awful, however Leeds are a funny team they are largely poor but every now and again one of their big strikers will have a breakout game and Healy could well be the man this weekend. In addition Billy Davies has just picked up the manager of the month award, although OPTA no doubt don't do official stats on this, it is often the catalyst for a suprise defeat.
6: PLYMOUTH V HULL
This might seem like a home banker, but Plymouth only have one win in seven while Hull have just replaced the manager, it reamins to be seen how this affects the players, all in to many variables to get involved.
LEAGUE ONE
7: CREWE V FOREST
You probably think I'm still bitter about Forest in midweek (and you would be right) but that's not the reason not to get involved, Crewe in general are a very funny side and can beat and lose to anyone. Forest meanwhile have doubts over a few key players upfront, from that point of view stay clear.
8: ROTHERHAM V BRISTOL CITY
This may seem a good away bet, but Rotherham's ten point deduction and then its a battle between two top six sides, throw in Rotherham's home record and Bristol City's less than stellar away record, make this one to watch and not bet on.
LEAGUE TWO
9:NOTTS COUNTY V MACCLESFIELD
Notts County might be many points ahead of Macclesfield but they have suffered two recent defeats while Macclesfield are unbeaten in four league games under Paul Ince.
10: HEARTS V MOTHERWELL
Hearts may well get their win but can you take 1.67 on a sde with no wins since October 1, Motherwell actually have two back to back wins, but these came against Caley and Falkirk and they still are a very poor side.
PREMIER LEAGUE
I could probably argue with justifcation that the whole premier league is a minefield but that won't stop some of you getting involved, it's very rare to find a price in the Premier League that doesn't fit so remember to be very careful. However they are a few that just don't work at all.
1. BLACKBURN V NEWCASTLE
Both these sides had differing midweeks, Blackburn poor defeat at Charlton, while Newcastle were impressive going forward against Reading. Mark Hughes' Blackburn have struggled to just two wins from their last 10 games, a run which includes six defeats in the Premiership, Newcastle are unbeaten in seven. However Newcastle have only one win away all season, while Blackburn can ammend many of their problems if Hughes returns Tugay to the middle and Bentley out wide. Newcastle will always give teams chances and Nonda and McCarthy look a lot more comfortable and gain a lot more support at home. This game is just a minefield and certainly worth the swerve.
2: TOTTENHAM V CHARLTON
I can see why Tottenham appeal, Charlton are hideous away, Spurs are great at home,however 1.57 for Spurs is not a price worth getting involved in. Spurs have Robbie Keane and Jenas out(though some may argue Jenas out is a plus), but mood can't be helped by the story that Jol has no faith in Defoe. Charlton showed a lot of fight in midweek and Andy Reid was looking great and will no doubt have a point to prove against Spurs. This is a London derby and though Spurs should win these are not the odds to get involved in.
3: LIVERPOOL V FULHAM
Liverpool should all in win but backing them at 1.44 doesn't appeal especially after what happened last time at home to Portsmouth. Liverpool should have enough to break down Fulham's rearguard but they are numerous games this season where they have dominated and struggled to break down tight defences. At 1.44 it doesn't pay to get caught out here.
CHAMPIONSHIP
4: BIRMINGHAM V PRESTON
This is a big headache from a betting point of view one that no amount of painkiller can solve. These two sides sit first and second in the table with just two points seperating, Preston have gone off the boil a little of late but will no doubt be motivated for this one, Birmingham sit top of the table, but there is little between the two sides. If Bendtner has an off day then Birmingham struggle, it's rare that he does mind but he is Birmingham's key.
5: LEEDS V DERBY
No doubt the punters are piling into Derby and who can blame they were on a great run of form before that last minute defeat to West Brom. Leeds for their part are just awful, however Leeds are a funny team they are largely poor but every now and again one of their big strikers will have a breakout game and Healy could well be the man this weekend. In addition Billy Davies has just picked up the manager of the month award, although OPTA no doubt don't do official stats on this, it is often the catalyst for a suprise defeat.
6: PLYMOUTH V HULL
This might seem like a home banker, but Plymouth only have one win in seven while Hull have just replaced the manager, it reamins to be seen how this affects the players, all in to many variables to get involved.
LEAGUE ONE
7: CREWE V FOREST
You probably think I'm still bitter about Forest in midweek (and you would be right) but that's not the reason not to get involved, Crewe in general are a very funny side and can beat and lose to anyone. Forest meanwhile have doubts over a few key players upfront, from that point of view stay clear.
8: ROTHERHAM V BRISTOL CITY
This may seem a good away bet, but Rotherham's ten point deduction and then its a battle between two top six sides, throw in Rotherham's home record and Bristol City's less than stellar away record, make this one to watch and not bet on.
LEAGUE TWO
9:NOTTS COUNTY V MACCLESFIELD
Notts County might be many points ahead of Macclesfield but they have suffered two recent defeats while Macclesfield are unbeaten in four league games under Paul Ince.
10: HEARTS V MOTHERWELL
Hearts may well get their win but can you take 1.67 on a sde with no wins since October 1, Motherwell actually have two back to back wins, but these came against Caley and Falkirk and they still are a very poor side.
posted by richard mctiernan at 11:55 PM
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