TURKEY SANDWICH ANYONE?
It's that time of year again, where you prop up your couch, open up a left bottle of alcohol, make yourself a turkey sandwich and gorge yourself on a feast of sport, to maker sure your bank account feels bloated to here are some helpful tips and advice.
BEWARE THE SMALL ODDS, INVEST IN THE LARGER ODDS
Strange things happen around Christmas, People seem to think Socks count as good presents, Aunt Mary lets her down (or even off ugh) and football results go strange, Yet understandably were all so keen to get backed involved that we pile in high and often on low odds sides. Then when they hit the pitch you wonder if they too have a few too many brandies with their christmas meal of chicken and pasta.
PREMIER LEAGUE
No doubt the weight of the money today will be on the big four, a ten pound bet will return a tasty 40.33 for you, however we at the mugs are not getting involved in that game. Although all four have winnable games we have to remember this boxing day and the second game in the space of a few days, the results may be somewhat strange, therefore it's advised to keep the stakes low and look for the value or else you'll be needing those credit adverts you see midway through your sport.
There is no value in getting on a Chelsea side at 1.22 who should win, but the last few weeks have caused bettors on them cold sweats and nightmares, one of these days the late late show will backfire. Liverpool for their part have a better price but a trickier away game against an improving Blackburn, Arsenal as ever are a threat to any backers sanity and Man United should beat Wigan easy, but then so should Chelsea.
Elsewhere Tottenham are not as great as bookies would have you believe and the bookies are taking a big chance on their game, for sure Tottenham's home form is great but Villa showed more signs of life last Saturday than a woeful Spurs and their away record is not bad at all.
Other mugs might pile into Everton who have the most winnable home game, but Viduka and Yakubu could cause them problems at the back and 1.85 is poor on an Everton side who tend to struggle in these games against sides they should be expected to break down with ease, see Wigan and Man City home games as examples.
CHAMPIONSHIP
I note the weight of money is on Brum at 1.44, but such short odds for a side who are not exactly Man United or Chelsea, QPR are a strange side who remind me a lot of Crewe in the other league, capable of getting beat by and beating anyone, there is little value here on a Brum side who are riding the luck and the form of on loan striker Bentdner and pre transfer window signing McSheffrey.
SO WHERE IS THE VALUE?
Somewhere out there is a big price for a side who you wouldn't consider getting anyone who will upset all coupons and accumulators, our call is to get on Port Vale. The 9/2 on offer is big value for them, let me explain why. Port Vale are now four games undefeated in the league and have a recent win against Brighton at the weekend. They have rediscovered their goalscoring form with nine in four games, while only shipping in one at the other end. They have already held Forest at their own ground in a match that they ceertainly were not dominated in. In Leon Constantine they have a striker who is bang in form and with a fully fit squad to choose from they look great value.
Forest for their part have lost two straight and are looking jittery at the top, a busy edgy Boxing Day crowd expecting Forest to steamroll the opposition may get to the players and give Vale more confidence to get at their opponents.
ANY OTHER VALUE?
Not quite as big as Vale but the 2.85 on Bury at Accrington Stanley stands out, Bury didn't have a great weekend what with being kicked out of the FA Cup for fielding an ineligible player and losing to Hartlepool. However if they are having a bad christmas period so far, that's nothing compared to an Accrington side who are just having a miserable few months. Losing to Hartlepool is no disgrace and Bury have some good away wins under their belt, Accrington for their part are leaking huge amounts of goals and the bookies might be regretting offering these prices, may a few too many brandies on their part as well.
AND IF YOU HAVE TO KEEP IT SMALL
Bristol City at home to Bournmouth, Blackpool at home to Carlisle, Scunthorpe home to poor travellers Chesterfield
make a league one treble.
Hartlepool at home to Carlisle, Bury at Acc Stanley and Stockport home to Notts County make a league two treble.
Kilmarnock and Falkirk at an injury hit St Mirren make a nice scottish double.
Add the Vale win bet and cover with a draw and that should set you up for a nice little bonus for the sales tommorrow.
HAVE A GREAT DAY AFTER CHRISTMAS DAY DAY AND HOPE IT'S A PROFITABLE ONE FOR YOU ALL, AND REMEMBER IF YOU EAT TOO MANY TURKEY SANDWICHES YOU MIGHT TURN INTO ONE.
RICH:)
BEWARE THE SMALL ODDS, INVEST IN THE LARGER ODDS
Strange things happen around Christmas, People seem to think Socks count as good presents, Aunt Mary lets her down (or even off ugh) and football results go strange, Yet understandably were all so keen to get backed involved that we pile in high and often on low odds sides. Then when they hit the pitch you wonder if they too have a few too many brandies with their christmas meal of chicken and pasta.
PREMIER LEAGUE
No doubt the weight of the money today will be on the big four, a ten pound bet will return a tasty 40.33 for you, however we at the mugs are not getting involved in that game. Although all four have winnable games we have to remember this boxing day and the second game in the space of a few days, the results may be somewhat strange, therefore it's advised to keep the stakes low and look for the value or else you'll be needing those credit adverts you see midway through your sport.
There is no value in getting on a Chelsea side at 1.22 who should win, but the last few weeks have caused bettors on them cold sweats and nightmares, one of these days the late late show will backfire. Liverpool for their part have a better price but a trickier away game against an improving Blackburn, Arsenal as ever are a threat to any backers sanity and Man United should beat Wigan easy, but then so should Chelsea.
Elsewhere Tottenham are not as great as bookies would have you believe and the bookies are taking a big chance on their game, for sure Tottenham's home form is great but Villa showed more signs of life last Saturday than a woeful Spurs and their away record is not bad at all.
Other mugs might pile into Everton who have the most winnable home game, but Viduka and Yakubu could cause them problems at the back and 1.85 is poor on an Everton side who tend to struggle in these games against sides they should be expected to break down with ease, see Wigan and Man City home games as examples.
CHAMPIONSHIP
I note the weight of money is on Brum at 1.44, but such short odds for a side who are not exactly Man United or Chelsea, QPR are a strange side who remind me a lot of Crewe in the other league, capable of getting beat by and beating anyone, there is little value here on a Brum side who are riding the luck and the form of on loan striker Bentdner and pre transfer window signing McSheffrey.
SO WHERE IS THE VALUE?
Somewhere out there is a big price for a side who you wouldn't consider getting anyone who will upset all coupons and accumulators, our call is to get on Port Vale. The 9/2 on offer is big value for them, let me explain why. Port Vale are now four games undefeated in the league and have a recent win against Brighton at the weekend. They have rediscovered their goalscoring form with nine in four games, while only shipping in one at the other end. They have already held Forest at their own ground in a match that they ceertainly were not dominated in. In Leon Constantine they have a striker who is bang in form and with a fully fit squad to choose from they look great value.
Forest for their part have lost two straight and are looking jittery at the top, a busy edgy Boxing Day crowd expecting Forest to steamroll the opposition may get to the players and give Vale more confidence to get at their opponents.
ANY OTHER VALUE?
Not quite as big as Vale but the 2.85 on Bury at Accrington Stanley stands out, Bury didn't have a great weekend what with being kicked out of the FA Cup for fielding an ineligible player and losing to Hartlepool. However if they are having a bad christmas period so far, that's nothing compared to an Accrington side who are just having a miserable few months. Losing to Hartlepool is no disgrace and Bury have some good away wins under their belt, Accrington for their part are leaking huge amounts of goals and the bookies might be regretting offering these prices, may a few too many brandies on their part as well.
AND IF YOU HAVE TO KEEP IT SMALL
Bristol City at home to Bournmouth, Blackpool at home to Carlisle, Scunthorpe home to poor travellers Chesterfield
make a league one treble.
Hartlepool at home to Carlisle, Bury at Acc Stanley and Stockport home to Notts County make a league two treble.
Kilmarnock and Falkirk at an injury hit St Mirren make a nice scottish double.
Add the Vale win bet and cover with a draw and that should set you up for a nice little bonus for the sales tommorrow.
HAVE A GREAT DAY AFTER CHRISTMAS DAY DAY AND HOPE IT'S A PROFITABLE ONE FOR YOU ALL, AND REMEMBER IF YOU EAT TOO MANY TURKEY SANDWICHES YOU MIGHT TURN INTO ONE.
RICH:)
posted by richard mctiernan at 7:04 AM
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