WHY YOU'D HAVE TO BE BRUMMING MAD TO TAKE 1.44 TONIGHT
Hey there and welcome back to the blog that has recently been as consistent as Man City, but fear not christmas over and new year on the horizon, new plans, new excitement and hopefully some major good tips.
Today were going to be telling you why you need to sit on your money and avoid Birmingham at 1.44 in tonight's game versus Luton, also the first part of the weekend preview will be in place as we tell you the ten games you shouldn't even consider getting invovled in from a betting point of view this weekend.
FRIDAY NIGHT THOUGHTS
Don't get me wrong, Birmingham really are the class act in this league. They possess in Nicolas Bentdner a star of the future, goalscorers in McSheffrey, Jerome, Campbell, Larsson and that's not even mentioning the injured Forsell. At the other end Taylor is a solid keeper backed by a strong back four, midfield is solid enough and most crucially for Birmingham the luck is in. I've lost count of times that I've read that they were the second best team and come out winners, and some occasions by two or three goals. Their form is excellent and the only clouds on the horizon are potential january window losses of David Dunn and Matthew Upson, so why then am I telling you not get involved at 1.4?
Is it because Luton are so good? No not really. Luton are an avaerage championship side(what do you mean aren't they all?) and have a horrendous away record. Last time they got tanked by Colchester 4-1 and their away trips are aout as successful as Checy Chase's in Natinoal Lampoon. Still 1.44 does not compute because of three reasons, One: The pressure of so many games in so little time, it's hard for managers to really do the homework on the opposition and playrs also drop in form and fitness. Two: The pressure of being top, as Brum are keeping winning so to does the pressure a win here adds, mentally you have to still have question marks over the sides ability to handle pressure after the way much of the same squad blew their chance to avoid relegation. They can and still have the chance to make ammends but eight points lead, a tired team, a few eyes may be off the ball and a few might be too tightly on it.
Three most crucially is thta Luton are improving, a 4-1 result was no indication of how the game was at Colchester and if any of Luton's strikers could find the net more regularly they would be much further up the table. For me there is no side in this league playing another side that would make me think 1.44 is value and as such I would take a watch brief, or look at the other markets if you really want to bet.
THE 1.44 QUOTED ON LUTON IS WITH BETFAIR, 1.40 IS THE BEST BOOKMAKER ODDS RIGHT NOW.
TEN GAMES YOU DON'T WANT TO BET ON THIS WEEKEND
1:BLACKBURN(2.0) V BORO (4.0): Two sides are starting to find a degree of form, hard to call and priced well.
2:WEST HAM (2.25) V MAN CITY (3.75): West Ham need to start winning games, Man City are hugely inconsistent.
3:NORWICH(1.91) V QPR (4.5): Norwich have no wins in five, QPR have one win in seven, a real no pick em.
4:BLACKPOOL(2.25) V DONCASTER (3.4): The reverse of Norwich/QPR, 2 sides in amazing form,combined one loss from 12.
5:CREWE (2.5) V YEOVIL (2.95): Two highly inconsistent sides with real Jekyll and Hyde natures.
6:DARLINGTON(2.38) V SHREWSBURY (3.2): Darlington have no win in five, Shrewsbury only two away wins all season.
7:Motherwell (10) Draw (5) Celtic (1.35)
8: Dundee Utd (2.9) Draw (3.4) Aberdeen (2.38)
9: Falkirk (2.2) Draw (3.4) Inverness (3.5)
10 Kilmarnock (3.05) Draw (3.43) Hearts (2.5)
The Scottish Premier is perhaps the most unpredictable league of all right now, look at the form team and back to back results and you will see no side has any real consistency. Certainly it makes Scotland more interesting to watch but a nightmare to bet from.
Well that's it from me today, be back tommorrow be sure to check back, it's all free and costs nothing but a few moments of your time.
Today were going to be telling you why you need to sit on your money and avoid Birmingham at 1.44 in tonight's game versus Luton, also the first part of the weekend preview will be in place as we tell you the ten games you shouldn't even consider getting invovled in from a betting point of view this weekend.
FRIDAY NIGHT THOUGHTS
Don't get me wrong, Birmingham really are the class act in this league. They possess in Nicolas Bentdner a star of the future, goalscorers in McSheffrey, Jerome, Campbell, Larsson and that's not even mentioning the injured Forsell. At the other end Taylor is a solid keeper backed by a strong back four, midfield is solid enough and most crucially for Birmingham the luck is in. I've lost count of times that I've read that they were the second best team and come out winners, and some occasions by two or three goals. Their form is excellent and the only clouds on the horizon are potential january window losses of David Dunn and Matthew Upson, so why then am I telling you not get involved at 1.4?
Is it because Luton are so good? No not really. Luton are an avaerage championship side(what do you mean aren't they all?) and have a horrendous away record. Last time they got tanked by Colchester 4-1 and their away trips are aout as successful as Checy Chase's in Natinoal Lampoon. Still 1.44 does not compute because of three reasons, One: The pressure of so many games in so little time, it's hard for managers to really do the homework on the opposition and playrs also drop in form and fitness. Two: The pressure of being top, as Brum are keeping winning so to does the pressure a win here adds, mentally you have to still have question marks over the sides ability to handle pressure after the way much of the same squad blew their chance to avoid relegation. They can and still have the chance to make ammends but eight points lead, a tired team, a few eyes may be off the ball and a few might be too tightly on it.
Three most crucially is thta Luton are improving, a 4-1 result was no indication of how the game was at Colchester and if any of Luton's strikers could find the net more regularly they would be much further up the table. For me there is no side in this league playing another side that would make me think 1.44 is value and as such I would take a watch brief, or look at the other markets if you really want to bet.
THE 1.44 QUOTED ON LUTON IS WITH BETFAIR, 1.40 IS THE BEST BOOKMAKER ODDS RIGHT NOW.
TEN GAMES YOU DON'T WANT TO BET ON THIS WEEKEND
1:BLACKBURN(2.0) V BORO (4.0): Two sides are starting to find a degree of form, hard to call and priced well.
2:WEST HAM (2.25) V MAN CITY (3.75): West Ham need to start winning games, Man City are hugely inconsistent.
3:NORWICH(1.91) V QPR (4.5): Norwich have no wins in five, QPR have one win in seven, a real no pick em.
4:BLACKPOOL(2.25) V DONCASTER (3.4): The reverse of Norwich/QPR, 2 sides in amazing form,combined one loss from 12.
5:CREWE (2.5) V YEOVIL (2.95): Two highly inconsistent sides with real Jekyll and Hyde natures.
6:DARLINGTON(2.38) V SHREWSBURY (3.2): Darlington have no win in five, Shrewsbury only two away wins all season.
7:Motherwell (10) Draw (5) Celtic (1.35)
8: Dundee Utd (2.9) Draw (3.4) Aberdeen (2.38)
9: Falkirk (2.2) Draw (3.4) Inverness (3.5)
10 Kilmarnock (3.05) Draw (3.43) Hearts (2.5)
The Scottish Premier is perhaps the most unpredictable league of all right now, look at the form team and back to back results and you will see no side has any real consistency. Certainly it makes Scotland more interesting to watch but a nightmare to bet from.
Well that's it from me today, be back tommorrow be sure to check back, it's all free and costs nothing but a few moments of your time.
posted by richard mctiernan at 8:30 AM
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