Tuesday, March 13, 2007

FINDING YOU MORE BARGAINS THAN DAVID DICKINSON BUT WITHOUT THE ORANGE FACE

That's right there's so much sport today that we don't have time for any of the usual intro's and shenanigans and that isn't just because I'm trying to gloss over a bad few betting days for this column.

WE DON'T LIKE CRICKET, OKAY WE DO BUT FIFTY ONE GAMES IN SIX WEEKS

Is an awful lot, still I'm sure the players and the media will be content after all six weeks in the Caribbean isn't exactly a big ask now is it. If it was six weeks in Slough I'm sure we would have a few more complaints. What it does mean though is the bookies have gone gnarls barkley over the markets on offer, i.e crazy. We've ploughed through the markets on come out with a few value tips for you. Don't thank us, oh well if you like.

THE OUTRIGHT WINNERS
There are only eight teams who can win this, which is seven more than the scottish premier, but will make for a lot of meaningless games. However there will be some small value bets and some shocks and we'll be sure to tip our hat and your mouse when we know of them. In the meanwhile start with two outright bets on the winners of the tournament. There a big question marks about each team and no outright winner, but the value lies with India and Sri lanka at 8.5(15/2) 10 per cent stakes each. Totesport are taking on India and it is understandable why, India are the Spain of cricket, no they don't have a racist coach, rather they have lots of talent but are not always the sum of their parts. However the pitches in the Caribbean should help them and a side with such a strong batting and bowling attack can not be ignored at that price. They can beat anyone in that day and with a format that allows for off days India have the potential to make this their year. Sri lanka meanwhile are one day masters, they coming out like a london schoolkid whose hads his rep damaged, i.e all guns blazing. They destroyed England last summer 5-0 and lost to India 2-1 but without two key players. Expekt offer a great value 8.5(15/2).

THE OTHER MARKETS
Top batsman is a bit of a sweepstake but some things you need to consider, it is essential to get on a batsman who will bat one to three in the order and that numerous games make it not essential to get someone who will make the final. There is less of a difference between twelve and ten games and five and three. With bookies offering quarter the odds the first four it's worth risking some small stakes (five per cent) on some outsiders. Here's a few we have highlighted, take your pick of all or some.
Sourav Ganguly 26.0 (25/1) general
Chris Gayle 18.0 (17/1) expekt.
Upul Tharanga 34.0 (33/1) general.
Mohammed Yosuf 26.0 (25/1) general.
Top bowler backers should look for players who won't have to share the wickets around.
Daniel Vettori 36.0 (35/1) pinnacle is our each way pick.
THE OTHER OTHER MARKETS
You can bet on everything this world cup from who will the toss, lowest team innings score and how often Michael Vaughan will spend in physio, okay maybe not the last one. There's a few goodies to be had here for bargain hunters think of me as David Dickinson but some what less Orange.
Upal Tharanga 40 per cent stakes on top debutant batsman 5.5 with sportingodds.
20 per cent stakes on 2.5 (6/4) Bermuda to have the lowest scoring innings.

THE FOOTBALL MARKETS
We've moved sports in case you didn't notice, and it's the good association football that generally keeps us busy here, it's a very interesting night of championship action tonight and a few bets stand out for us.

Southend not to lose at home to Burnley 2.2(6/5) the win and 3.25(9/4) the draw. Although your playing on short returns it's worth for the consideration of the very small chance Burnley will win away from home tonight. I'll explain why, Southend had a great win at the weekend at Ipswich and are showing encouraging sings of getting out of their, Burnley are sliding badly and have no win in 16. They are struggling to score, though they are difficult to break down and draw a few hence the conservative draw cover. Thirty per cent stakes on both the home and the draw.

Bristol City at home to Bradford in a double with Aberdeen at Motherwell. 20 per cent stake.

Macclesfield not to lose at MK Dons, 5.5(9/2 totesport) the win 3.6(13/5) the draw. Macclesfield have shown improved signs since Ince tok over, they have got some good results against tricky teams.

Well that's for today were out of here quicker than a Bermudan batsman.

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