Thursday, April 26, 2007

WHEN THE GOING GETS TOUGH THE TOUGH GET GOING, THE CLEVER ONES MEANWHILE WATCH AND MAKE SMART COMMENTS

PREMIER LEAGUE

12:45 Chelsea (1.33) Draw (5.3) Bolton (12.5) LIVE SKYSPORTS
12:45 Everton (5.5) Draw (3.6) Manchester United (1.73) LIVE SKYSPORTS

Like ying and yang, or mary kate and ashley, somethings just have to go together right now,such as the big games of the day. In what is either a genius stroke of broadcasting or the worst bit of scheduling since LIVE8 both games are on at the same time on different channels. It means we can watch the crucial action unfold, it means noone gets an unfair advantage(though I'm sure Jose will find reason to complain) and it means my virgin plus has a double chance to either reddem itself or annoy me again(see previous post.) As for the games themselves there will no doubt be more specials than a takeaway menu board but which one to pick, what is the black bean chicken and what is the sweet and sour. Of course it all depends on your view you might like takeaway sweet and sour and hate blackbean, we do live in a democracy after all in which we have a right to choose, it might be between things of equal ineptness but it is a choice.
That's one massive paragraph with little to do with the games themselves so lets get to it both sides have winnable but tricky games against teams battling for fifth place. Chelsea should feel most confident they have home advantage against a Bolton side who were awful in their flintoff style capsize against Reading. They have enough depth to get through this game whoever they play, Bolton's defence are leaking goals they seem a lot more brittle than Bolton sides of days gone by and this seems a highly plausible home win.
Our recommendation is to put four points on each of the following, chelsea to win by one goal, chelsea to win by two, chelsea by three. It seems highly likely that Chelsea will win this one but they rarely hammer teams and Mourinho will be loathe to push his players too much to hammer a side when three points is three. The goal difference is beyond an issue and it will either be a matter of chelsea getting an early one and holding back, or struggling to score as in recent weeks and getting a late one.
Man United though have a much trickier game and I would have been more confident on Everton if it wasn't for the appalling performance against West Ham, if Everton have AJ back than this because a different match, the difference between AJ and JB(James Beattie) is like the one between Heinz and Tesco's beans, just ask Hugh Grant and the photographer. While the team news could have a huge impact we will go with the same sort of prediction in the United v Chelsea game this time with BET365, they offer United to win by one goal at 3.1 and United to win by two or more goals at 3.3, 3 points again advised, you could even take the draw onside at 3.6 withbet365 and stan james and still return profit.
RECOMMENDATION: UNITED AND CHELSEA DOUBLE 4 points. 2.36 betfair 2.23 better/blue square/ betdirect.
RECOMMENDATION: Chelsea win margin one/two/three all 3 points. 3.3/4.0/6.5 blue square.
RECOMMENDATION: UNITED WIN margin one/two or more 3.1/3.33 points, optional draw cover 3.6 withBET365 and Stan James.
RECOMMENDATION: Keep an eye on Skybet during the match they will offer live in game running on the prem title, it would not beyond United to go behind and their price to go out and then come back and win as they did in midweek.

ELSEWHERE
15:00 Blackburn (2.15) Draw (3.5) Charlton (3.77)
15:00 Manchester City (2.3) Draw (3.25) Aston Villa (3.28)
15:00 Middlesbrough (2.85) Draw (3.4) Tottenham (2.63)
15:00 Portsmouth (3.5) Draw (3.4) Liverpool (2.3)
15:00 Sheffield U (1.62) Draw (3.85) Watford (6)
15:00 Wigan (2.3) Draw (3.4) West Ham (3.4)
SUNDAY 29-04-2007
16:00 Arsenal (1.4) Draw (4.6) Fulham (9.5)
MONDAY 30-04-2007
20:00 Reading (2.05) Draw 3.5 Newcastle 4.3.

Picking this weekend's winners is tougher than trying to convince people Grease is the word is worth watching, our advice is to keep the stakes low and look at the other markets oh and to watch the BBC one show instead. The pick of the bets is probably the over 2.5 at evens(totalbet) in the Boro v Spurs match at 0.5pts. In addition the anytime market could be worth some small punts 0.25pts on each of these players.
John Stead ANYTIME bet365 2.88 Sheff United v Watford.
Luton Shelton anytime bet365 3.00 Sheff United v Watford.
Benni McCarthy anytime coral 2.88 Blackburn v Charlton
Darius Vassell anytime Premierbet 3.75 Man City v Villa
Gabriel Agbonlahor anytime premierbet/bet365 4.3 Villa v mancity.

COCA COLA CHAMPIONSHIP:
FRIDAY 27-04-2007
19:45 Sunderland (1.4) Draw (5) Burnley (9)
SATURDAY 28-04-2007
15:00 Barnsley (2.4) Draw (3.2) Leicester (3.4)
15:00 Birmingham (1.73) Draw (3.75) Sheffield W (5.2)
15:00 Cardiff (2.4) Draw (3.5) Hull (3)
15:00 Coventry (3.4) Draw (3.5) West Bromwich (2.25)
15:00 Leeds (1.73) Draw (3.6) Ipswich (5.2)
15:00 Norwich (3.25) Draw (3.5) Southampton (2.3)
15:00 Plymouth (2.9) Draw (3.4) Preston (2.4)
15:00 Southend (1.73) Draw (3.75) Luton (5)
15:00 Stoke (2.1) Draw (3.6) Colchester (3.55)
15:00 Wolverhampton (1.53) Draw (4) QPR (6.8)
Sunday 29-04-2007
13:30 Crystal Palace (4) Draw (3.5) Derby (2.1)

In the words of the wiseman Billy Ocean, when the going gets tough, the tough get going, and it doesn't get any tougher than the second last weekend of the season unless you count the last one I guess. It's hard to pick too much value on this weekend but here are few that stand out.
BRONZE BET: 0-5 PTs: Burnley not to lose 9.0 the win(general) and 5.0 the draw(totesport/ladbrokes). This is especially off note if you followed this column's advice at took Sunderland at 10-1 to win the league it's worth covering yourself. Even if you haven't 9.0 is huge value at this stage of the season when the pressure is on, I would expect Keane and his men to come through but Burnely are playing some very good stuff recently and as david would no doubt testify upsets can happen.
SILVER BET: 1.0Pts: Danielle Nardiello 3.0bet365 anytime market. Nardiello is firing at the moment and his four goals in two games have almost fired Barnsley to safety, as long as he is fit(there a few question marks about this) then he should be backed with confidence at 3.0 to maintain his fine goalscoring record.
GOLD BET: 2.0Pts each on sheff wed away win/draw. 5.2 the win(expekt) 5.3 the win(betfair.) 3.75 the draw(boyle) 4.0(betfair) While Birmingham do sit top of the table Sheff Wed are on a great run of form and more than caable of springing the surprise. There is a momentum and confidence about Sheff Wed and there's a whole lot of pressure on Birmingham, five point two is a steal.

COCA COLA LEAGUE ONE AND TWO
LEAGUE ONE
FRIDAY 27-04-2007
19:45 Northampton (2.1) Draw (3.4) Huddersfield (3.3)
Saturday 28-04-2007
15:00 Blackpool (2.25) Draw (3.4) Scunthorpe (3.1)
15:00 Bournemouth (2) Draw (3.4) Gillingham (4)
15:00 Brentford (2.7) Draw (3.4) Port Vale (2.6)
15:00 Brighton (3.2) Draw (3.5) Oldham (2.25)
15:00 Carlisle (2.2) Draw (3.5) Swansea (3.25)
15:00 Chesterfield (2.4) Draw (3.75) Bradford (2.9)
15:00 Crewe (2.25) Draw (3.4) Tranmere (3.1)
15:00 Leyton Orient (3.15) Draw (3.5) Nottm Forest (2.2)
15:00 Millwall (3.5) Draw (3.5) Bristol City (2.2)
15:00 Rotherham (3.25) Draw (3.5) Cheltenham (2.25)
15:00 Yeovil (1.73) Draw (3.6) Doncaster (5.5)

LEAGUE TWO
Saturday 28th April
12:00 Hereford (3.2) Draw (3.4) Shrewsbury (2.3)
15:00 Accrington (2.2) Draw (3.4) Macclesfield (3.2)
15:00 Boston Utd. (1.67) Draw (3.75) Torquay (5.5)
15:00 Bristol Rovers (2.38) Draw (3.5) Swindon (3.01)
15:00 Chester (3) Draw (3.4) Peterboro (2.25)
15:00 Grimsby (2.75) Draw (3.4) Lincoln (2.63)
15:00 Mansfield (2.2) Draw (3.4) Barnet (3.65)
15:00 Notts County (2.25) Draw (3.4) Darlington (3.4)
15:00 Rochdale (2.75) Draw (3.4) Hartlepool (2.75)
15:00 Stockport (1.91) Draw (3.6) Bury (4.5)
15:00 Walsall (1.8) Draw (3.6) Wrexham (5)
15:00 Wycombe (2.6) Draw (3.5) Milton Keynes Dons (2.7)

Such is the difficulty in predicting this weekend I've had to combine the two leageus together, that and it means less waffle from me.
BRONZE BET: Barnet not to lose at Mansfield at 0.5pts 3.65 (expekt) 3.4 (general) Barnet were hammered last week five nil and were awful, i'm really selling this one aren't I:) but fear not Mansfield are just as bad in fact worse. The pressure is truely on for them and the club is in a mess with issue over owernship and pay, abrnet have to be worth 0.5pts each on the win and draw.
SILVER BET: Wrexham have now won three straight including wins at playoff chasing Lincoln and Shrewsbury while Wallsall last week lost at home to Bury. The 1.0point on the win at 5.0(betfred/stan james) and the 3.7 the draw(betfair) 3.6 (tote) are worth a little bet.
GOLD BET: It's twelve games since Chester last won, in this time Peterborough have risen up the table and now sit just four points off the playoff places, it's a game young ferguson and his men must win and at 2.25 with expekt it's worth 3.0pts of your money.

OTHER BETS
Reading 7.5(coral/betfred) betting without big four if Everton and Bolton lose this weekend and Reading win then they will be level on points. This is well worth an investment of 1.opts.

OTHER SPORT THIS WEEKEND
The snooker world championship continues, as does the US sport playoffs, ongoing tennis and golf tournaments, a big weekend of rugby of both codes and of course big reality tv action. The event of the weekend though looks like being the cricket world cup final and the hopes that SriLanka can spring a massive shock.

SPORTS DAIRY
Friday, April 27
FOOTBALL: Coca-Cola Championship: Sunderland v Burnley.
League One: Northampton v Huddersfield.
CRICKET: LV County Championship Division One: Surrey v Hampshire. Warwickshire v Sussex. Yorkshire v Durham.
Division Two: Essex v Glamorgan. Leicestershire v Somerset. Middlesex v Northamptonshire. Gloucestershire v Nottinghamshire.
University matches: Cambridge UCCE v Derbyshire. Durham UCCE v Lancashire. Kent v Cardiff UCCE. Worcestershire v Loughborough UCCE.
RUGBY UNION: Magners League: Borders v Cardiff (1930). Ospreys v Leinster (1910). Ulster v Glasgow (1930).
RUGBY LEAGUE: Engage Super League: Hull KR v Huddersfield (2000). Leeds v Catalans Dragons (2000). Salford v Wigan (2000).
GOLF: Madrid: Spanish Open. Irving: EDS Byron Nelson Championship.
TENNIS: Barcelona: SEAT Open. Casablanca: Hassan II Grand Prix. Budapest: Women's Grand Prix.
SNOOKER: Sheffield: World Championship.
BOWLS: Australia: World Cup.
RACING: Chepstow. Newton Abbot. Perth. Sandown. Wolverhampton. Punchestown.

Saturday, April 28
FOOTBALL: Barclays Premiership: Blackburn v Charlton. Chelsea v Bolton (1245). Everton v Man Utd (1245). Man City v Aston Villa. Middlesbrough v Tottenham. Portsmouth v Liverpool. Sheff Utd v Watford. Wigan v West Ham.
Coca-Cola Championship: Barnsley v Leicester. Birmingham v Sheff Wed. Cardiff v Hull. Coventry v West Brom. Leeds v Ipswich. Norwich v Southampton. Plymouth v Preston. Southend v Luton. Stoke v Colchester. Wolves v QPR.
League One: Blackpool v Scunthorpe. Bournemouth v Gillingham. Brentford v Port Vale. Brighton v Oldham. Carlisle v Swansea. Chesterfield v Bradford. Crewe v Tranmere. Leyton Orient v Nottm For. Millwall v Bristol City. Rotherham v Cheltenham. Yeovil v Doncaster.
League Two: Accrington v Macclesfield. Boston v Torquay. Bristol Rovers v Swindon. Chester v Peterborough. Grimsby v Lincoln. Hereford v Shrewsbury (1200). Mansfield v Barnet. Notts Co v Darlington. Rochdale v Hartlepool. Stockport v Bury. Walsall v Wrexham. Wycombe v MK Dons.
Bank of Scotland Premier League: Aberdeen v Kilmarnock. Dundee Utd v Inverness CT. Hibernian v Rangers. Motherwell v Falkirk.
Scottish League Division One: Clyde v Dundee. Hamilton v St Johnstone. Partick v Livingston. Queen of South v Airdrie Utd. Ross Co v Gretna.
Division Two: Alloa v Forfar. Ayr v Morton. Brechin v Cowdenbeath. Raith v Peterhead. Stranraer v Stirling.
Division Three: Albion v East Stirling. Arbroath v East Fife. Dumbarton v Queen's Park. Elgin v Montrose. Stenhousemuir v Berwick.
CRICKET: LV County Championship Division One: Surrey v Hampshire. Warwickshire v Sussex. Yorkshire v Durham.
Division Two: Essex v Glamorgan. Leicestershire v Somerset. Middlesex v Northamptonshire. Gloucestershire v Nottinghamshire.
RUGBY UNION: Guinness Premiership: Gloucester v Bristol (1505). Leicester v Wasps (1505). Harlequins v Sale (1505). Newcastle v Bath (1505). Northampton v London Irish (1505). Worcester v Saracens (1505).
Magners League: Munster v Dragons.
RUGBY LEAGUE: Engage Super League: Harlequins v St Helens.Wakefield v Hull (1800).
Co-operative National League One.
GOLF: Madrid: Spanish Open. Irving: EDS Byron Nelson Championship.
TENNIS: Barcelona: SEAT Open. Casablanca: Hassan II Grand Prix. Budapest: Women's Grand Prix.
SNOOKER: Sheffield: World Championship.
BOWLS: Australia: World Cup.
RACING: Haydock. Leicester. Market Rasen. Ripon. Sandown. Wolverhampton. Punchestown.
SUNDAY APRIL 29
28-29 BASKETBALL Newcastle: BBL Championship finals weekend
29 MOTORCYCLING Silverstone: British Superbikes
29 MOTORCYCLING Holland: World Superbikes

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