Friday, January 05, 2007

FA CUP THIRD ROUND DAY

FA CUP THIRD ROUND

12.30 TAMWORTH (7.0) DRAW (4.0) NORWICH (1.55): Tamworth sit second bottom of the Conference, Norwich have a horrendous away record and one win in seven, no value here, no bet.
15.00: BARNET (4.4) DRAW (3.4) COLCHESTER (1.83) Colchester continue to suprise evreyone but I worry this might be their turn to be suprised, Barnet are showing improved signs and are difficult home side to beat, Colchester have a poor away record and this is one to swerve.
15:00 Birmingham (2.8) Draw (3.25) Newcastle (2.6): A couple of weeks ago this would have been a good value away bet, but a few key inuries in the middle to Emre and Parker and questions over Butt makes this a trickier game for Newcastle. This could be a probable draw and all back to ST James Park. With both teams having a leaky defence there is value in the anytime market with Coral offering 3.0 that McSheffrey and Martins can scre anytime.
15:00 Blackpool (1.4) Draw (4.1) Aldershot (9.0): Blackpool are riding high in League one and their loss on New Years ended a seven game unbeaten run that has seen the side go flyin up the table. Aldershot are a mid table conference side on a decent run of form, it's not worth taking as a single, but this might be a vlue bet on the accumulators.
15:00 Bristol City (2.4) Draw (3.3) Coventry (3.1): Bristol City are shortening this morning as there is a bit of money on tem, understandably so there a strong home side and Coventry are weak away side, added to the fact that these two could be playing together next season. A decent value home win.
15:00 Chelsea (1.1) Draw (10.5) Macclesfield (34): What do I need to tell you it's Goliath v David or Jose v Incey. You'd be crazy to get involved in the results market, Chelsea are really low and Macclesfield have come too far down in the betting. Bearing in mind Chelsea's defence porblems an outside value bet of Kevin McIntyre (penalty and set piece taker) at 17.0 anytime scorer with Bet Direct could be value.
15:00 Chester (4.3) Draw (3.44) Ipswich (1.85): Chester were late additions to the draw in place of Bury who fieded an inelgible player and admitted it. As this week has shown the last thing you do with the FA is admit something. Anyway in terms of the game, both sides are very inconsistent, Ipswich tend to be better at home, Chester have lost their last two home games 0-3. One to avoid.
15:00 Crystal Palace (1.59) Draw (3.8) Swindon (6.5): Palace are an improving side at Home, but Swindon are tricky opposition this is another one to swerve.
15:00 Derby (1.35) Draw (5) Wrexham (10): Bearing in mind Wrexhma haven't won away since August this seems like another to add to the accumulator, or the 2.0 for Derby to win to nil could be wrth considering as Derb have a very tight defence at home.
15:00 Doncaster (6) Draw (4) Bolton (1.65): Defeat to Liverpool aside Bolton are playing some great attacking stuff, but it remains to be seen what side Allardyce picks, if he rests a few key players like Anelka and Diouf then the 6.0 on Doncaster, or the Doncaster not to lose ebt could be good value on an in-form side in their new home.
15:00 Hull (4.3) Draw (3.4) Middlesbrough (2): My bet of the day, Boro have a poor away record and with question marks over Woodgate and Schwarzer could be even more vulnerable at the back. Hull are on a much improved run since Brown came in as caretaker manager, an excellent win at Sheff Wed last time out is the sign of a side playing confident stuff, Hull at 100-30 is worth a punt, or Fagan at 7/2 in the anytime market.
15:00 Leicester (3.35) Draw (3.25) Fulham (2.38): Fulham have a poor away record, but then Leicester aren't playing great stuff, it's a hard one to call and one to avoid.
15:00 Nottm Forest (3) Draw (3.25) Charlton (2.38): This one could scream out shock, but Forest are short considering the two leagues between these sides and the fact is they're struggling themselves. This could be a tight one, but both sdes are not short of defencive problems and goals might be an option, Stan James are offering 2.1 on the over 2 which seems good value.
15:00 Peterborough (3.5) Draw (3.34) Plymouth (2.2): You have a Peterborough side on a bad run against a Plymouth side with no away win since October so it's hard to get excited by the game,a clear no bet.
15:00 Portsmouth (1.75) Draw (3.5) Wigan (5): It's very hard not to see past Pompey, Wigan look set for a long hard season, I think there is better value out there today but would be hard to argue against Pompey.
15:00 Preston (2.04) Draw (3.3) Sunderland (3.75): On face value Preston would seem good value to beat Sunderland as they have already gone there and beat them 1-0, however it was about their only short of their gae and their was little if nothing between these two sides. 2.04 looks no value whatsoever.
15:00 QPR (2.25) Draw (3.3) Luton (3.25): Not one to get involved, this could be a close tight affair, there is little in these sides, QPR have the home advantage, but none of three results would suprise me.
15:00 Reading (1.53) Draw (4.1) Burnley (7.5): Reading should be easy wins over Burnley as Reading's home form is excellent and Burnley have no win in six, Reading are in such scoring form that they could be value at 2.5 to cover the minus one handicap.
15:00 Sheff Utd (1.5) Draw (4.1) Swansea (7.5) I can't see the value in the 1.5 here, Swansea are no mugs and have goals in them, just how up for the cup are Neil Warnock's men going to be. I'm interested in swansea to cover the one goal handicap at stan james and the draw should be 2,75 and 3.5. Swansea would just have avoid a two goal defeat for this bet to pay.
15:00 Southend (2.25) Draw (3.3) Barnsley (3.21): With a three-one win last time out and no defeats in three the 2.25 on southend looks good value, they still have a hold off Eastwood and against a Barnsley side on their travles this should be added to a double.
15:00 Torquay (7.6) Draw (4.1) Southampton (1.5): Torquay are in a real mess right now and southampton should hav enough to come through, rather than take the odds against I'd be more interested in rasiak to score anytime at 2.0 with BET365.
15:00 Watford (1.33) Draw (5) Stockport (10): Stockport really struggle away from home but 1.33 on Watford doesn't really excite. Stockport do score and if you can get a bookmaker to give you odds on both teams to score then it might be worth considering.
15:00 West Brom (1.65) Draw (3.57) Leeds (5.5): West Brom are firing in the goals and the Leeds defence allows them, the over and under market or west brom team goals markets could be worth looking at.
15:00 West Ham (1.36) Draw (4.6) Brighton (8.8) The addition of Boa Morte does strengthen the Hammers but don't forget this a side who last six-nil last time, it'll take more than that to get on them. Brighton for their part are also struggling and this could be one to swerve.
15:00 Wolves (1.8) Draw (3.5) Oldham (5) Wolves are difficult side to predict and Oldham are ona good run of form, I can see the value in 5.0 but I for one won't be getting involved. On fire Chris Porter in the anytime market could be value.
17:15 Liverpool (2.1) Draw (3.25) Arsenal (3.75): True Liverpool have home advantage but this is a real pick em game and I can't believe other websites are going so high on a Liverpool win, Arsenal are no mugs and looked full of confidence last time out, a great one to watch but not one to be betting on.
Sun Jan 07, 2007 Best Book
14:00 Man Utd (1.3) Draw (5.1) Aston Villa (11) United seemed to have a sign over Villa and ahrd pushed to see anythingother than a home win, the Larsson anytime market seems worth playing at 2.3 expext and 2.2 betfred.
15:00 Everton (2.1) Draw (3.25) Blackburn (3.8): Blackburn look decent value to not lose, they are playing some good football and Everton are not exactly firing.
15:00 Sheff Wed (3.6) Draw (3.25) Man City (2.2): Sheff Wed might be worth small stakes to upset City here, good home side and City inconsistent.
16:00 Cardiff (5) Draw (3.5) Tottenham (1.8) No bet Cardiff are struggling, spurs are poor on the road.

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